Hiatus, Break, Pause, Intervalhiatus

*Felices Fiestas Decembrinas a todos!! He decidido tomarme un descanso para disfrutar de mi familia, y planificar una mejor administración para mi blog, el próximo año… Tengo varias ideas!! (sus sugerencias son bienvenidas).

*Happy December Holidays to you all!! I have decided to take a break to enjoy my family, and plan a better administration for my blog, next year… I have several ideas!! (your suggestions are welcome).

My Heart is Broken – Evanescence (Piano Intro Cover)

Amé el intro de esta canción desde la primera vez que la escuche!! Y pensé que sería genial hacerle un cover… Espero les guste!!

I loved the intro of this song ever since I first heard it!! I just though making a cover of it would be awesome… I hope you like it!!

<—— Si te gustan mis posts, Y los mismos temas que a mi, sigue mi blog!! Solo escribe tu mail y da clic en “Follow” / If you like my posts, and the same topics I do, follow my blog!! Just write down your email and clic “Follow”

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Isabel ha compartido una foto de Instagram contigo:

Hola:

Isabel acaba de compartir una foto de Instagram contigo:

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«You know? Jealousy is a very destructive feeling…. Don’t waste your time, It will never work, Don’t try and #fight, It only makes it worse, And I will #never be The one you can #defeat, #Believe in me ‘cause I was #born to lead.

I’m on your side, don’t ever believe! Or let anybody tell you You cannot achieve your #dreams. What are you fighting for? Let down your guard, lift up your arms. Salute to the sky and be #thankful you’re here! The man in the mirror’s the one that you #fear the most And just like a ghost, You’ll #escape your #fate, You must not lose your #hope.

To be the last one standing up And when that day comes! They’ll know what you’re about

… #fallinginrevere check out my vlog about my experience at their concert in #Chile (link in my bio) #isabelmissvplam #ronnieradke #idol

Lil sad atm… But #GoodMorning everyone! (Read my tumblr)»

Gracias,
El equipo de Instagram

Daily Prompt: Sink or Swim…Hit or Miss, What will you Pick?

Ok so… when I read this my immediate thought was ‘Falling In Reverse’? XD… it’s a song, called Sink or Swim… that pretty much talks about karma and was written by Ronnie when he was pissed… (Just saying…)

But then I clicked on the post and read what it was abut and again…my immediate thought was ‘Falling In Reverse’? :O and so, I decided to share my recent story with the band in question… because it totally fits!!

Last time I was left alone to do something on my own?

…Over the last year, I have found myself loving this amazing band, and in terms of my life, I suddenly moved from my house in Mexico to Chile to live alone for 6 months… an amazing experience that is almost over… but that has help me grow up a lot.

So anyways… I love this band so much! and a few days ago… they came to Chile for the first time… I had no friends to go with and I had no idea about the place were the concert took place AND the band is a metal bandso their concerts are crazy… but yes, I went, Alone and I had a GREAT time… my parents still don’t know… and probably won’t find out in a while XD.

And since I had this huge amount of feelings after the concert, I did a vlog (that I divided in 3) where I elaborate way more in the subject and talk about the concert, the first 2 parts are up, and the 3rd one will be up on Friday 😀

Here are the links:

you know in case you wanna check them out!… 😀

So yeah… in conclusion for this post… if you love something or someone truly and you have the opportunity to show it… do not let the fact that you are in it alone, stop you… who knows, maybe you have a really really good time!! Because the other option is lo live regretting everything all the time… and honestly you only live once, so who’s got time for that!? (haha OH note to self: Follow your motherfuck*ng advises more often!)

XD, Thank for reading!! If you live a comment, I promise I’ll reply 😉 

Daily Prompt: Sink or Swim.

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‘IsabelMissVplam’: Understanding random market behaviour | Scribble and Scrawl

Did you guys see that video of people fighting at Wal-Mart on Black Friday? So ‘animal’ right?! It’s crazy how we sometimes loose all our sense and simply become unpredictable! Information nowadays is more available than ever, but only a few know how to use it ‘properly’, the market evolves so fast that the information that was useful yesterday, will not be useful today because the situation is just too different… so you are left almost with nothing but your instinct. – IsabelMissV

According to the ‘Efficient Market Theory’, put forth by Eugene Fama, financial markets are believed to be efficient and investors are understood to make rational decisions. Further, market participants are supposed to be sophisticated, informed and known to act only on available information. Since market participants are believed to have equal access to information, it is implied that stock prices always reflect the best information about fundamental values of the stocks. According to the efficient market theory and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) the price of a stock is the Present Value (PV) of all the entire future earnings of the company i.e. the future dividend paid by the company. 

The ‘Modern Portfolio Theory’ pioneered by Harry Markowitz suggested that an investor can maximise returns by holding a diversified portfolio of assets with different levels of risk.

 However stock prices were found to exhibit more volatility than efficient market hypothesis could explain.  The market price of a stock often grossly varied from the price arrived at by efficient market theory.  This unexplained volatility and the difference between the market price and the rational price of the stock became a subject of research. It was also found that as compared to the individual stocks, the aggregate stock price (index) showed a higher variance from the values predicted by the efficient market theory.

The research brought out interesting aspects of behavioural finance. In the paper ‘From efficient market theory to behavioral finance’, Robert J Schiller explains the reason for the apparent randomness in the movement of stock prices using models such as feedback model, smart money versus ordinary investors and prospect theory.

Feedback model

As expectations of rise in a stock price increase, more and more people start buying the stock. As a result a momentum sets in, which takes prices farther away from the levels predicted by the academic finance models. Similarly when there is an expectation of a fall in price, more and more people join in to sell the stock, driving prices lower than supported by the financial models. This is one of the strong reasons for bubbles and bursts. Feedback may be one of the essential sources of the randomness seen in stock prices.

Obstacles to smart money

Recognizing the difference between smart money and the ordinary investors, the efficient markets theory asserts that when the irrational optimist buys a stock, the smart investor sells and vice versa. However in reality every investor has the shades of an ordinary investor and a smart investor.  Many times when most owners of a stock are too optimistic about a stock, they may not be willing to lend shares to short sellers; so  there may not be enough shares available for short selling.  The lack of short selling can push the stock price further upwards, amplifying  the effect of irrational optimism and can cause financial anomalies in bubbles and bursts.  

Prospect Theory

Prospect theory is used to explain deviations from the traditional paradigm of rational behaviour. According to this theory since people value gains and losses differently, an investor feels more difficulty in selling shares at a loss than the exuberance the person experiences when selling the stock at an equal amount of gain.

 

cycle-of-fear-greed

Understanding how other market participants may act can help investors in making good investment decisions. Traders often experience a varied range of emotions from exuberance to despair during different stages of a trade with abrupt changes in the stock price movement, with negative emotions weighing much heavily than the positive emotions. Viewing the random and unexpected market movement in light of behavioral finance theory can prepare investors better to ride out the volatility by inculcating trading discipline, while minimizing the emotional impacts. It can prevent investors from buying overpriced shares or from dumping oversold but still valuable stocks at a huge loss seeing other investors rushing for the exits and thus avert committing gross wrong trades that are to be regretted later.

TAKEN FROM/CREDITS: Understanding random market behaviour | Scribble and Scrawl.

Isabel ha compartido una foto de Instagram contigo:

Hola:

Isabel acaba de compartir una foto de Instagram contigo:

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«HOLY SHIT! So, I just entered my Chanel and turns out that the 2nd part of my vlog about my experience at #fallinginreverse concert in #chile (which was uploaded 6 hours ago) has 84 views, while the 1st part, uploaded 4 days ago has 83… Wtf is going on?! #ronficarro #derekjones #jackyvincent #ryanseaman #ronnieradke #isabelmissvplam »

Gracias,
El equipo de Instagram

Isabel ha compartido un vídeo de Instagram contigo

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Isabel acaba de compartir un vídeo de Instagram contigo:

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«:( I’m sorry guys!! I promise I’ll put up the 2nd part of «#fallinginrevere in #Chile, my experience by @isabelmissvplam» tomorrow!! #iloveyou all!!! #firarmy #ronnieradke #jackyvincent #ronficarro #derekjones #ryanseaman #instamusic #instalike (link in my bio!!… In case you wonder about part 1)»

Gracias,
El equipo de Instagram

Isabel ha compartido una foto de Instagram contigo:

Hola:

Isabel acaba de compartir una foto de Instagram contigo:

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«So the day after the concert I managed to do this super cute side braid!! I was so proud I took pictures and now I’m sharing them hahahaha 😋 hope you’re all having a #good day!! #love you all!! In a few hours, I’ll post the 2nd part of my vlog about #fallinginreverse concert in #chile! (Link in my bio) #isabelmissvplam #instamusic #style #beauty #fashion #firarmy #ronnieradke»

Gracias,
El equipo de Instagram